COR 93-89 COV, April 19, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. COR beat COV 93-89, but COV's shots were worth 92.4 points to COR's 87.6.

COR 93-89 COV, April 19, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
COR	60	73	69.3	20/24	18.4	93	87.6
COV	66	62	68.6	27/31	23.8	89	92.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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