GIR 91-85 BRE, April 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. GIR beat BRE 91-85, and GIR's shots were worth 87.0 points to BRE's 80.2.

GIR 91-85 BRE, April 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
GIR656764.824/2922.29187.0
BRE666968.216/1612.08580.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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