LLT 95-87 COV, April 6, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. LLT beat COV 95-87, and LLT's shots were worth 96.3 points to COV's 80.2.

LLT 95-87 COV, April 6, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LLT	71	80	83.5	15/16	12.8	95	96.3
COV	59	74	66.9	13/17	13.3	87	80.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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