BRE 88-82 BKN, March 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BRE beat BKN 88-82, but BKN's shots were worth 88.8 points to BRE's 82.9.

BRE 88-82 BKN, March 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BRE637770.911/1612.08882.9
BKN646973.613/2015.38288.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.