COV 69-97 VBC, March 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. VBC beat COV 97-69, but COV's shots were worth 93.0 points to VBC's 92.7.

COV 69-97 VBC, March 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
COV	70	56	79.9	13/17	13.1	69	93.0
VBC	61	79	72.6	18/26	20.1	97	92.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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