UCM 79-85 MBA, March 29, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MBA beat UCM 85-79, but UCM's shots were worth 95.6 points to MBA's 79.1.

UCM 79-85 MBA, March 29, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
UCM	68	67	83.9	12/16	11.7	79	95.6
MBA	60	73	64.9	12/18	14.2	85	79.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Liga ACB games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.