ILE 81-86 JOV, March 23, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. JOV beat ILE 86-81, but ILE's shots were worth 92.6 points to JOV's 84.5.

ILE 81-86 JOV, March 23, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ILE676980.212/1612.48192.6
JOV657070.116/2014.48684.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Liga ACB games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.