COR 98-106 BRE, March 16, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BRE beat COR 106-98, but COR's shots were worth 100.4 points to BRE's 89.1.

COR 98-106 BRE, March 16, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
COR	79	81	84.3	17/21	16.1	98	100.4
BRE	62	84	67.9	22/28	21.1	106	89.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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