COV 82-85 ILE, March 16, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ILE beat COV 85-82, and ILE's shots were worth 106.4 points to COV's 99.5.

COV 82-85 ILE, March 16, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
COV	74	63	81.0	19/24	18.5	82	99.5
ILE	58	47	66.5	38/51	39.9	85	106.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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