UCM 64-76 GIR, March 15, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. GIR beat UCM 76-64, but UCM's shots were worth 101.8 points to GIR's 99.1.

UCM 64-76 GIR, March 15, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
UCM	70	50	87.3	14/20	14.5	64	101.8
GIR	68	59	78.4	17/28	20.7	76	99.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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