BRE 94-74 MBA, March 8, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BRE beat MBA 94-74, but MBA's shots were worth 91.3 points to BRE's 84.4.

BRE 94-74 MBA, March 8, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BRE	64	82	73.7	12/14	10.7	94	84.4
MBA	60	53	67.4	21/30	24.0	74	91.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.