UNI 95-78 COV, March 8, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. UNI beat COV 95-78, and UNI's shots were worth 92.5 points to COV's 84.6.

UNI 95-78 COV, March 8, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
UNI	72	80	77.6	15/19	14.9	95	92.5
COV	61	61	64.0	17/26	20.6	78	84.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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