LLT 82-81 JOV, March 1, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LLT beat JOV 82-81, but JOV's shots were worth 79.9 points to LLT's 74.9.

LLT 82-81 JOV, March 1, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
LLT556557.817/2217.18274.9
JOV646868.013/1611.98179.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.