GIR 89-101 CAZ, February 9, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. CAZ beat GIR 101-89, but GIR's shots were worth 85.8 points to CAZ's 84.0.

GIR 89-101 CAZ, February 9, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
GIR	68	76	70.3	13/21	15.5	89	85.8
CAZ	62	85	65.9	16/24	18.0	101	84.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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