UCM 77-78 LLT, February 8, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LLT beat UCM 78-77, but UCM's shots were worth 84.8 points to LLT's 76.7.

UCM 77-78 LLT, February 8, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
UCM	57	64	67.4	13/23	17.5	77	84.8
LLT	51	62	59.8	16/21	16.9	78	76.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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