BRE 81-79 UNI, February 8, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BRE beat UNI 81-79, and BRE's shots were worth 83.3 points to UNI's 78.0.

BRE 81-79 UNI, February 8, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BRE	60	68	68.0	13/20	15.2	81	83.3
UNI	64	70	69.5	9/11	8.5	79	78.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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