CAZ 79-88 UCM, February 1, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. UCM beat CAZ 88-79, but CAZ's shots were worth 100.3 points to UCM's 94.8.

CAZ 79-88 UCM, February 1, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CAZ685477.025/3123.379100.3
UCM657175.617/2519.28894.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Liga ACB games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.