DGC 67-70 LLT, January 26, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LLT beat DGC 70-67, but DGC's shots were worth 69.0 points to LLT's 64.5.

DGC 67-70 LLT, January 26, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DGC	64	60	60.6	7/11	8.4	67	69.0
LLT	54	58	53.3	12/14	11.3	70	64.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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