BRE 76-71 SBB, January 25, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BRE beat SBB 76-71, but SBB's shots were worth 88.7 points to BRE's 78.5.

BRE 76-71 SBB, January 25, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BRE565660.220/2418.37678.5
SBB625469.317/2519.37188.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.