COV 97-91 CAZ, January 19, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. COV beat CAZ 97-91, but CAZ's shots were worth 90.6 points to COV's 87.8.

COV 97-91 CAZ, January 19, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
COV	63	77	71.0	20/21	16.8	97	87.8
CAZ	62	72	70.0	19/27	20.6	91	90.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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