ILE 88-78 DGC, January 19, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ILE beat DGC 88-78, and ILE's shots were worth 89.0 points to DGC's 85.4.

ILE 88-78 DGC, January 19, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ILE	67	74	73.7	14/20	15.3	88	89.0
DGC	59	64	65.7	14/26	19.7	78	85.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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