COR 78-86 UCM, January 18, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. UCM beat COR 86-78, and UCM's shots were worth 95.1 points to COR's 86.7.

COR 78-86 UCM, January 18, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
COR	71	66	74.8	12/16	11.9	78	86.7
UCM	75	68	77.9	18/22	17.2	86	95.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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