DGC 74-77 BAR, January 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BAR beat DGC 77-74, and BAR's shots were worth 72.5 points to DGC's 69.4.

DGC 74-77 BAR, January 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DGC	63	70	64.2	4/7	5.2	74	69.4
BAR	57	62	57.4	15/19	15.2	77	72.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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