LLT 86-75 SBB, January 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LLT beat SBB 86-75, but SBB's shots were worth 80.9 points to LLT's 77.4.

LLT 86-75 SBB, January 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LLT	62	75	67.0	11/13	10.4	86	77.4
SBB	63	67	70.9	8/13	10.0	75	80.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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