MBA 93-101 BRE, January 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BRE beat MBA 101-93, but MBA's shots were worth 89.9 points to BRE's 77.2.

MBA 93-101 BRE, January 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MBA667371.620/2318.39389.9
BRE588862.213/2015.010177.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Liga ACB games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.