GIR 91-90 BAR, January 7, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. GIR beat BAR 91-90, but BAR's shots were worth 84.4 points to GIR's 79.0.

GIR 91-90 BAR, January 7, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
GIR	65	81	68.5	10/14	10.5	91	79.0
BAR	67	78	69.7	12/19	14.7	90	84.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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