No. MBA beat GIR 98-85, but GIR's shots were worth 104.4 points to MBA's 88.8.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GIR | 69 | 64 | 82.1 | 21/29 | 22.4 | 85 | 104.4 |
| MBA | 68 | 80 | 72.8 | 18/21 | 16.0 | 98 | 88.8 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.