A player's offensive impact per 100 possessions, estimated from on-court stints with teammates and opponents held fixed, regularized so thin samples are pulled toward a box-score prior rather than toward zero.
| Lowest | 10th | Median | 90th | Highest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -4.31 | -1.48 | -0.03 | 1.78 | 6.56 |
The shipped figure is the prior-informed one. The plain ridge estimate is shown alongside it on a player page so a number carried by the prior is visible as such.
It cannot separate a player from the lineups he happened to play in, and a season is rarely enough data to be confident.
Measured in points per 100 possessions, for a player.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.