Free throws a team's defence gives up over the model's expectation for the same contexts, per 100 possessions.
| Lowest | 10th | Median | 90th | Highest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1.2 | -0.5 | 0 | 0.5 | 1.2 |
Lower is better here. It is the defensive mirror of drawn free throws.
Fouling is partly a deliberate trade for a worse shot; this number cannot see the intent.
Measured in free throws per 100 possessions vs expectation, for a team.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.