208 Lega Basket Serie A games of 2020-21, played September 26, 2020 to May 10, 2021, each with its final score and what each side's shots were worth, home team first. 2 games are left out because their play-by-play does not add up to the official final score.
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
| Date | Matchup | Final | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, May 10 | Brescia vs Pesaro | 86-84 | 71.7-83.9 |
| Mon, May 10 | Bologna vs Trentino | 83-91 | 80.9-83.5 |
| Mon, May 10 | Brindisi vs Varese | 108-84 | 85.6-68.1 |
| Mon, May 10 | Reggio Emilia vs Venezia | 65-71 | 73.3-71.3 |
| Mon, May 10 | Trieste vs Bologna | 88-82 | 85.3-88.0 |
| Mon, May 10 | Milano vs Cremona | 74-66 | 92.0-93.1 |
| Mon, May 10 | Cantù vs Sassari | 106-101 | 100.1-98.8 |
| Wed, May 5 | Trentino vs Brindisi | 83-73 | 97.0-74.6 |
| Sun, May 2 | Brindisi vs Sassari | 90-97 | 87.3-80.1 |
| Sun, Apr 25 | Varese vs Trieste | 73-79 | 86.0-80.3 |
| Sun, Apr 25 | Venezia vs Treviso | 82-62 | 94.2-92.2 |
| Sun, Apr 25 | Sassari vs Reggio Emilia | 89-82 | 79.4-84.6 |
| Sun, Apr 25 | Bologna vs Cantù | 75-68 | 77.0-79.2 |
| Sun, Apr 25 | Pesaro vs Milano | 81-88 | 70.1-81.0 |
| Sun, Apr 25 | Cremona vs Brescia | 89-94 | 99.3-92.2 |
| Wed, Apr 21 | Bologna vs Treviso | 97-68 | 89.9-89.4 |
| Wed, Apr 21 | Sassari vs Trentino | 94-76 | 78.0-74.6 |
| Sun, Apr 18 | Trieste vs Pesaro | 101-88 | 89.7-79.4 |
| Sun, Apr 18 | Cantù vs Reggio Emilia | 71-72 | 75.7-76.8 |
| Sun, Apr 18 | Treviso vs Varese | 94-103 | 91.3-79.6 |
| Sun, Apr 18 | Venezia vs Bologna | 92-76 | 81.2-74.8 |
| Sun, Apr 18 | Brindisi vs Cremona | 67-78 | 75.2-78.6 |
| Sun, Apr 18 | Brescia vs Sassari | 82-94 | 91.4-88.4 |
| Sat, Apr 17 | Milano vs Bologna | 94-84 | 88.5-89.8 |
| Wed, Apr 14 | Trentino vs Trieste | 81-69 | 81.7-85.8 |
| Wed, Apr 14 | Brescia vs Cantù | 69-74 | 90.8-71.0 |
| Wed, Apr 14 | Varese vs Venezia | 75-77 | 82.5-74.9 |
| Wed, Apr 14 | Pesaro vs Brindisi | 62-86 | 71.9-75.6 |
| Wed, Apr 14 | Cremona vs Bologna | 82-74 | 94.0-77.7 |
| Wed, Apr 14 | Sassari vs Milano | 73-85 | 68.8-70.1 |
| Sun, Apr 11 | Bologna vs Trieste | 81-67 | 81.6-79.7 |
| Sun, Apr 11 | Cantù vs Trentino | 75-76 | 78.0-88.0 |
| Sun, Apr 11 | Reggio Emilia vs Varese | 95-77 | 80.1-70.5 |
| Sun, Apr 11 | Brindisi vs Milano | 80-71 | 77.6-66.5 |
| Sun, Apr 11 | Venezia vs Brescia | 94-87 | 81.1-83.3 |
| Sun, Apr 11 | Treviso vs Sassari | 89-85 | 86.0-74.6 |
| Sat, Apr 10 | Bologna vs Pesaro | 77-79 | 68.7-72.4 |
| Mon, Apr 5 | Milano vs Varese | 81-83 | 86.9-79.7 |
| Sat, Apr 3 | Pesaro vs Treviso | 89-97 | 86.2-75.3 |
| Sat, Apr 3 | Cremona vs Reggio Emilia | 90-71 | 83.5-75.2 |
| Sat, Apr 3 | Trentino vs Venezia | 90-84 | 85.8-80.3 |
| Sat, Apr 3 | Cantù vs Brindisi | 71-93 | 82.7-92.7 |
| Sat, Apr 3 | Bologna vs Brescia | 88-78 | 66.9-81.0 |
| Sat, Apr 3 | Sassari vs Bologna | 77-108 | 81.6-94.1 |
| Mon, Mar 29 | Reggio Emilia vs Pesaro | 91-79 | 75.3-83.3 |
| Sun, Mar 28 | Treviso vs Trieste | 95-76 | 79.1-80.0 |
| Sun, Mar 28 | Varese vs Trentino | 88-70 | 75.5-73.2 |
| Sun, Mar 28 | Brescia vs Brindisi | 68-74 | 75.1-85.7 |
| Sun, Mar 28 | Bologna vs Bologna | 81-73 | 75.3-60.8 |
| Sun, Mar 28 | Venezia vs Milano | 69-63 | 73.2-72.5 |
| Sat, Mar 27 | Sassari vs Cremona | 95-84 | 79.3-79.3 |
| Sun, Mar 21 | Cremona vs Treviso | 85-86 | 95.4-98.1 |
| Sun, Mar 21 | Milano vs Cantù | 70-57 | 77.8-82.4 |
| Sun, Mar 21 | Trieste vs Venezia | 69-87 | 89.7-75.1 |
| Sat, Mar 20 | Trentino vs Brescia | 91-67 | 82.6-73.5 |
| Sat, Mar 20 | Pesaro vs Bologna | 70-75 | 76.0-78.6 |
| Fri, Mar 19 | Bologna vs Reggio Emilia | 71-68 | 75.3-77.2 |
| Sun, Mar 14 | Varese vs Pesaro | 81-68 | 79.0-76.4 |
| Sun, Mar 14 | Treviso vs Bologna | 84-78 | 78.5-74.9 |
| Sun, Mar 14 | Cantù vs Cremona | 92-85 | 93.6-86.6 |
| Sun, Mar 14 | Brescia vs Milano | 92-99 | 80.6-74.4 |
| Sat, Mar 13 | Reggio Emilia vs Trieste | 70-96 | 87.2-81.1 |
| Sat, Mar 13 | Brindisi vs Bologna | 91-85 | 82.6-75.9 |
| Sun, Mar 7 | Cremona vs Pesaro | 100-78 | 88.9-103.3 |
| Sun, Mar 7 | Treviso vs Reggio Emilia | 78-72 | 87.1-76.7 |
| Sun, Mar 7 | Trieste vs Cantù | 82-79 | 89.6-72.9 |
| Sun, Mar 7 | Bologna vs Brindisi | 70-95 | 74.2-86.3 |
| Sun, Mar 7 | Trentino vs Milano | 61-60 | 77.9-71.5 |
| Sat, Mar 6 | Bologna vs Venezia | 77-72 | 77.5-78.4 |
| Sat, Mar 6 | Varese vs Sassari | 89-74 | 86.7-82.8 |
| Sun, Feb 28 | Cantù vs Treviso | 83-76 | 81.1-80.7 |
| Sun, Feb 28 | Brescia vs Reggio Emilia | 89-79 | 77.3-77.6 |
| Sun, Feb 28 | Cremona vs Trentino | 95-87 | 104.3-90.2 |
| Sun, Feb 28 | Milano vs Bologna | 98-72 | 72.8-78.1 |
| Sat, Feb 27 | Brindisi vs Trieste | 81-74 | 79.8-80.0 |
| Sat, Feb 27 | Bologna vs Varese | 85-76 | 69.0-81.4 |
| Sun, Feb 14 | Varese vs Bologna | 67-79 | 78.7-74.7 |
| Wed, Feb 10 | Brescia vs Varese | 98-83 | 79.8-79.6 |
| Sun, Feb 7 | Trentino vs Pesaro | 70-81 | 79.3-75.0 |
| Sun, Feb 7 | Venezia vs Cantù | 80-75 | 88.7-81.5 |
| Sun, Feb 7 | Treviso vs Brindisi | 90-108 | 80.9-81.9 |
| Sun, Feb 7 | Varese vs Cremona | 110-105 | 110.0-101.7 |
| Sun, Feb 7 | Trieste vs Brescia | 78-81 | 76.4-77.5 |
| Sun, Feb 7 | Reggio Emilia vs Bologna | 62-89 | 70.8-85.0 |
| Sat, Feb 6 | Bologna vs Sassari | 79-89 | 73.8-92.7 |
| Thu, Feb 4 | Varese vs Brindisi | 76-74 | 84.2-72.5 |
| Mon, Feb 1 | Brindisi vs Reggio Emilia | 79-70 | 84.4-69.9 |
| Sun, Jan 31 | Milano vs Trieste | 81-100 | 90.9-82.1 |
| Sun, Jan 31 | Brescia vs Treviso | 91-94 | 84.7-82.6 |
| Sun, Jan 31 | Cantù vs Varese | 97-82 | 94.3-93.2 |
| Sun, Jan 31 | Pesaro vs Venezia | 65-78 | 72.3-68.1 |
| Sun, Jan 31 | Trentino vs Bologna | 64-78 | 81.0-80.5 |
| Sat, Jan 30 | Cremona vs Bologna | 75-88 | 85.4-98.9 |
| Wed, Jan 27 | Trieste vs Varese | 108-83 | 86.6-90.6 |
| Sun, Jan 24 | Pesaro vs Cantù | 107-83 | 86.4-76.9 |
| Sun, Jan 24 | Venezia vs Cremona | 88-84 | 92.3-95.2 |
| Sun, Jan 24 | Treviso vs Milano | 77-82 | 80.8-75.6 |
| Sun, Jan 24 | Trieste vs Sassari | 82-103 | 84.8-90.4 |
| Sat, Jan 23 | Reggio Emilia vs Trentino | 83-74 | 84.5-83.8 |
| Sat, Jan 23 | Bologna vs Brescia | 89-90 | 96.9-87.1 |
| Tue, Jan 19 | Cremona vs Milano | 81-83 | 88.7-81.7 |
| Sun, Jan 17 | Sassari vs Pesaro | 99-74 | 81.3-82.0 |
| Sun, Jan 17 | Cremona vs Trieste | 80-101 | 98.0-97.0 |
| Sun, Jan 17 | Trentino vs Treviso | 76-82 | 67.4-80.3 |
| Sun, Jan 17 | Milano vs Reggio Emilia | 102-73 | 92.3-63.8 |
| Sun, Jan 17 | Brindisi vs Venezia | 77-89 | 85.6-72.5 |
| Sun, Jan 17 | Cantù vs Bologna | 82-91 | 90.5-88.1 |
| Sun, Jan 10 | Pesaro vs Brescia | 98-88 | 92.4-74.8 |
| Sun, Jan 10 | Venezia vs Reggio Emilia | 95-75 | 82.8-74.6 |
| Sun, Jan 10 | Bologna vs Trieste | 69-82 | 69.5-75.6 |
| Sun, Jan 10 | Sassari vs Cantù | 98-92 | 91.5-81.3 |
| Sat, Jan 9 | Trentino vs Bologna | 85-92 | 88.9-83.8 |
| Wed, Jan 6 | Trieste vs Reggio Emilia | 78-69 | 94.1-75.1 |
| Sun, Jan 3 | Treviso vs Venezia | 86-88 | 77.8-79.6 |
| Sun, Jan 3 | Reggio Emilia vs Sassari | 78-85 | 96.0-92.8 |
| Sun, Jan 3 | Brindisi vs Trentino | 74-73 | 77.6-69.6 |
| Sun, Jan 3 | Milano vs Pesaro | 97-93 | 83.0-86.8 |
| Sun, Jan 3 | Brescia vs Cremona | 85-89 | 83.3-85.5 |
| Sat, Jan 2 | Cantù vs Bologna | 67-80 | 74.6-75.3 |
| Wed, Dec 30 | Trieste vs Treviso | 84-79 | 76.7-83.2 |
| Wed, Dec 30 | Bologna vs Pesaro | 100-80 | 81.3-89.4 |
| Sun, Dec 27 | Pesaro vs Trieste | 84-74 | 72.0-60.7 |
| Sun, Dec 27 | Varese vs Treviso | 79-80 | 81.0-88.5 |
| Sun, Dec 27 | Bologna vs Venezia | 76-72 | 88.9-77.2 |
| Sun, Dec 27 | Cremona vs Brindisi | 96-94 | 92.3-96.5 |
| Sun, Dec 27 | Sassari vs Brescia | 100-87 | 87.6-77.2 |
| Sun, Dec 27 | Bologna vs Milano | 68-73 | 88.2-78.4 |
| Sat, Dec 26 | Reggio Emilia vs Cantù | 68-78 | 93.3-80.7 |
| Wed, Dec 23 | Cremona vs Sassari | 75-95 | 87.1-86.4 |
| Wed, Dec 23 | Venezia vs Trieste | 81-66 | 73.2-69.3 |
| Sun, Dec 20 | Trieste vs Trentino | 92-82 | 72.4-88.3 |
| Sun, Dec 20 | Treviso vs Bologna | 72-98 | 79.5-93.4 |
| Sun, Dec 20 | Cantù vs Brescia | 89-92 | 77.6-84.7 |
| Sun, Dec 20 | Venezia vs Varese | 86-77 | 92.6-89.2 |
| Sun, Dec 20 | Bologna vs Cremona | 85-71 | 81.2-90.8 |
| Sun, Dec 20 | Milano vs Sassari | 102-86 | 91.0-83.0 |
| Sat, Dec 19 | Brindisi vs Pesaro | 81-92 | 81.8-64.4 |
| Wed, Dec 16 | Treviso vs Cremona | 101-90 | 95.1-91.4 |
| Wed, Dec 16 | Reggio Emilia vs Bologna | 79-69 | 81.7-77.1 |
| Wed, Dec 16 | Cantù vs Trieste | 73-67 | 85.6-89.0 |
| Sun, Dec 13 | Trieste vs Bologna | 60-77 | 73.2-89.4 |
| Sun, Dec 13 | Trentino vs Cantù | 74-73 | 75.2-74.8 |
| Sun, Dec 13 | Varese vs Reggio Emilia | 76-89 | 87.4-83.8 |
| Sun, Dec 13 | Milano vs Brindisi | 82-88 | 85.5-83.1 |
| Sun, Dec 13 | Brescia vs Venezia | 71-69 | 77.4-76.2 |
| Sun, Dec 13 | Sassari vs Treviso | 97-93 | 81.3-88.3 |
| Sat, Dec 12 | Pesaro vs Bologna | 70-78 | 79.8-81.8 |
| Wed, Dec 9 | Cremona vs Cantù | 101-67 | 101.3-77.2 |
| Sun, Dec 6 | Treviso vs Pesaro | 91-81 | 82.4-75.5 |
| Sun, Dec 6 | Reggio Emilia vs Cremona | 56-85 | 101.9-98.2 |
| Sun, Dec 6 | Varese vs Milano | 70-96 | 86.2-75.1 |
| Sun, Dec 6 | Venezia vs Trentino | 71-79 | 69.8-90.0 |
| Sun, Dec 6 | Brindisi vs Cantù | 85-71 | 73.5-73.8 |
| Sun, Dec 6 | Bologna vs Sassari | 78-83 | 89.7-82.8 |
| Sat, Dec 5 | Brescia vs Bologna | 99-85 | 85.7-95.9 |
| Thu, Dec 3 | Reggio Emilia vs Treviso | 98-74 | 87.1-83.1 |
| Sun, Nov 22 | Pesaro vs Reggio Emilia | 84-63 | 81.7-67.9 |
| Sun, Nov 22 | Trentino vs Varese | 74-77 | 81.3-73.4 |
| Sun, Nov 22 | Brindisi vs Brescia | 74-71 | 71.4-67.9 |
| Sun, Nov 22 | Bologna vs Bologna | 71-91 | 74.5-89.8 |
| Wed, Nov 18 | Treviso vs Cantù | 89-82 | 85.8-70.9 |
| Sun, Nov 15 | Cantù vs Milano | 71-89 | 74.4-80.5 |
| Sun, Nov 15 | Brescia vs Trentino | 73-80 | 82.8-84.6 |
| Sun, Nov 15 | Sassari vs Brindisi | 87-100 | 79.4-87.4 |
| Sun, Nov 8 | Pesaro vs Varese | 85-78 | 75.9-70.4 |
| Sun, Nov 8 | Milano vs Brescia | 87-56 | 68.7-90.4 |
| Sat, Nov 7 | Trentino vs Sassari | 92-78 | 89.3-72.2 |
| Sat, Nov 7 | Bologna vs Treviso | 87-98 | 90.2-93.9 |
| Sat, Nov 7 | Bologna vs Brindisi | 88-98 | 91.8-88.9 |
| Sun, Nov 1 | Pesaro vs Cremona | 95-83 | 87.5-89.4 |
| Sun, Nov 1 | Venezia vs Bologna | 68-83 | 69.2-89.6 |
| Sun, Nov 1 | Brindisi vs Bologna | 100-74 | 85.3-71.8 |
| Sun, Nov 1 | Milano vs Trentino | 82-75 | 81.9-79.7 |
| Sun, Nov 1 | Sassari vs Varese | 104-82 | 76.8-90.3 |
| Sun, Oct 25 | Trieste vs Brindisi | 76-79 | 69.0-94.8 |
| Sun, Oct 25 | Trentino vs Cremona | 85-83 | 94.9-84.4 |
| Sun, Oct 25 | Venezia vs Sassari | 99-92 | 95.8-82.9 |
| Sun, Oct 25 | Bologna vs Milano | 71-82 | 71.2-85.8 |
| Sat, Oct 24 | Reggio Emilia vs Brescia | 83-67 | 82.1-61.3 |
| Sat, Oct 24 | Varese vs Bologna | 73-85 | 82.7-83.6 |
| Sun, Oct 18 | Cantù vs Venezia | 67-75 | 82.8-63.7 |
| Sun, Oct 18 | Brindisi vs Treviso | 99-83 | 83.0-77.0 |
| Sun, Oct 18 | Brescia vs Trieste | 75-63 | 72.5-80.9 |
| Sun, Oct 18 | Sassari vs Bologna | 89-86 | 82.8-84.1 |
| Sun, Oct 18 | Bologna vs Reggio Emilia | 67-77 | 89.9-84.5 |
| Sat, Oct 17 | Pesaro vs Trentino | 57-71 | 69.3-63.7 |
| Sat, Oct 17 | Cremona vs Varese | 80-67 | 83.6-80.9 |
| Sun, Oct 11 | Trieste vs Milano | 65-87 | 80.6-88.6 |
| Sun, Oct 11 | Treviso vs Brescia | 87-94 | 73.7-65.9 |
| Sun, Oct 11 | Reggio Emilia vs Brindisi | 76-80 | 71.5-79.9 |
| Sun, Oct 11 | Varese vs Cantù | 80-90 | 85.6-82.2 |
| Sun, Oct 11 | Venezia vs Pesaro | 72-90 | 86.3-78.8 |
| Sat, Oct 10 | Bologna vs Trentino | 93-70 | 84.6-73.8 |
| Sat, Oct 10 | Bologna vs Cremona | 92-95 | 91.9-95.1 |
| Sun, Oct 4 | Cantù vs Pesaro | 81-72 | 75.2-84.0 |
| Sun, Oct 4 | Bologna vs Varese | 83-88 | 93.4-74.6 |
| Sun, Oct 4 | Cremona vs Venezia | 66-83 | 90.2-74.5 |
| Sun, Oct 4 | Milano vs Treviso | 104-64 | 94.9-85.7 |
| Sun, Oct 4 | Brescia vs Bologna | 80-81 | 75.8-84.4 |
| Sun, Oct 4 | Sassari vs Trieste | 72-74 | 89.9-83.9 |
| Sat, Oct 3 | Trentino vs Reggio Emilia | 81-87 | 79.9-78.2 |
| Sun, Sep 27 | Pesaro vs Sassari | 85-95 | 67.7-74.6 |
| Sun, Sep 27 | Trieste vs Cremona | 102-77 | 89.1-86.3 |
| Sun, Sep 27 | Reggio Emilia vs Milano | 71-87 | 66.3-83.9 |
| Sun, Sep 27 | Varese vs Brescia | 94-89 | 94.9-87.7 |
| Sun, Sep 27 | Venezia vs Brindisi | 75-67 | 78.7-79.5 |
| Sun, Sep 27 | Bologna vs Cantù | 84-65 | 73.7-75.1 |
| Sat, Sep 26 | Treviso vs Trentino | 84-80 | 72.7-77.5 |
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.