No. MIN beat IND 86-66, but IND's shots were worth 94.8 points to MIN's 83.0.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 75 | 81 | 78.5 | 5/6 | 4.6 | 86 | 83.0 |
| IND | 73 | 55 | 79.5 | 11/20 | 15.3 | 66 | 94.8 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.