IND 96-77 MIN, September 22, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. IND beat MIN 96-77, and IND's shots were worth 87.3 points to MIN's 81.3.

IND 96-77 MIN, September 22, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	63	73	64.9	23/28	22.4	96	87.3
MIN	72	65	70.5	12/14	10.8	77	81.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.