MIN 81-93 NYL, September 18, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. NYL beat MIN 93-81, but MIN's shots were worth 97.5 points to NYL's 91.2.

MIN 81-93 NYL, September 18, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MIN746480.717/2016.88197.5
NYL748178.012/1613.39391.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.