ATL 89-81 MIN, August 30, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. ATL beat MIN 89-81, but MIN's shots were worth 90.7 points to ATL's 87.1.

ATL 89-81 MIN, August 30, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ATL717976.510/1410.78987.1
MIN706675.115/1915.68190.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.