ATL 83-101 PDX, August 28, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. PDX beat ATL 101-83, but ATL's shots were worth 98.1 points to PDX's 84.4.

ATL 83-101 PDX, August 28, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ATL716479.419/2418.78398.1
PDX658973.412/1411.110184.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.