PHX 89-99 ATL, August 22, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat PHX 99-89, and ATL's shots were worth 100.6 points to PHX's 88.9.

PHX 89-99 ATL, August 22, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	62	69	69.3	20/25	19.6	89	88.9
ATL	76	85	88.2	14/16	12.4	99	100.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.