WAS 84-94 MIN, August 21, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat WAS 94-84, but WAS's shots were worth 89.2 points to MIN's 78.8.

WAS 84-94 MIN, August 21, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
WAS	66	67	72.6	17/23	16.6	84	89.2
MIN	70	85	70.7	9/10	8.2	94	78.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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