No. IND beat ATL 95-91, but ATL's shots were worth 106.8 points to IND's 103.4.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 82 | 66 | 86.0 | 25/26 | 20.9 | 91 | 106.8 |
| IND | 81 | 78 | 85.2 | 17/23 | 18.2 | 95 | 103.4 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.