ATL 91-95 IND, August 16, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. IND beat ATL 95-91, but ATL's shots were worth 106.8 points to IND's 103.4.

ATL 91-95 IND, August 16, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ATL826686.025/2620.991106.8
IND817885.217/2318.295103.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.