PHX 85-88 PDX, August 16, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PDX beat PHX 88-85, and PDX's shots were worth 88.3 points to PHX's 84.9.

PHX 85-88 PDX, August 16, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	67	65	65.0	20/25	20.0	85	84.9
PDX	71	74	71.3	14/21	17.0	88	88.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.