WAS 79-74 ATL, August 7, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. WAS beat ATL 79-74, but ATL's shots were worth 100.0 points to WAS's 92.7.

WAS 79-74 ATL, August 7, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
WAS	62	64	68.3	15/34	24.4	79	92.7
ATL	77	56	79.0	18/27	21.0	74	100.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.