ATL 96-82 PHX, August 5, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. ATL beat PHX 96-82, but PHX's shots were worth 92.5 points to ATL's 88.9.

ATL 96-82 PHX, August 5, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	70	80	75.2	16/17	13.7	96	88.9
PHX	64	59	71.9	23/26	20.7	82	92.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.