ATL 87-109 LVA, August 3, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. LVA beat ATL 109-87, but ATL's shots were worth 102.3 points to LVA's 85.9.

ATL 87-109 LVA, August 3, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ATL757086.517/2015.887102.3
LVA719874.111/1411.810985.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.