ATL 98-89 SEA, July 31, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat SEA 98-89, and ATL's shots were worth 102.3 points to SEA's 93.2.

ATL 98-89 SEA, July 31, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	64	64	71.8	34/39	30.4	98	102.3
SEA	68	65	69.1	24/30	24.1	89	93.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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