TOR 72-104 MIN, July 30, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIN beat TOR 104-72, and MIN's shots were worth 97.6 points to TOR's 76.7.

TOR 72-104 MIN, July 30, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TOR	62	66	67.9	6/11	8.8	72	76.7
MIN	82	93	87.2	11/13	10.5	104	97.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.