PHX 91-89 GSV, July 29, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. PHX beat GSV 91-89, but GSV's shots were worth 91.5 points to PHX's 85.5.

PHX 91-89 GSV, July 29, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	55	59	51.6	32/43	33.9	91	85.5
GSV	76	74	76.9	15/19	14.6	89	91.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.