DAL 81-82 ATL, July 29, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat DAL 82-81, and ATL's shots were worth 89.6 points to DAL's 79.6.

DAL 81-82 ATL, July 29, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
DAL697268.19/1411.58179.6
ATL706369.719/2519.98289.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.