LVA 98-83 PDX, July 28, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. LVA beat PDX 98-83, but PDX's shots were worth 89.3 points to LVA's 78.3.

LVA 98-83 PDX, July 28, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
LVA577556.223/2622.19878.3
PDX686369.520/2519.88389.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.