SEA 95-105 IND, July 28, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. IND beat SEA 105-95, but SEA's shots were worth 104.6 points to IND's 83.6.

SEA 95-105 IND, July 28, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SEA	79	75	82.9	20/27	21.7	95	104.6
IND	64	79	62.3	26/26	21.3	105	83.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.