MIN 100-93 TOR, July 28, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat TOR 100-93, but TOR's shots were worth 91.2 points to MIN's 87.9.

MIN 100-93 TOR, July 28, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	72	88	75.3	12/16	12.7	100	87.9
TOR	73	79	77.1	14/17	14.0	93	91.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.