SEA 76-86 MIN, July 22, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIN beat SEA 86-76, and MIN's shots were worth 97.7 points to SEA's 91.4.

SEA 76-86 MIN, July 22, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SEA	74	65	79.5	11/15	11.9	76	91.4
MIN	79	71	83.5	15/17	14.2	86	97.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.